Tom qab kev sib ntaus sib tua ntawm Lavxias-Ukraine, qhov nce ntawm cov nqi khoom noj khoom haus thoob ntiaj teb tau ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam rau kev ruaj ntseg khoom noj khoom haus thoob ntiaj teb, uas ua rau lub ntiaj teb paub ntau ntxiv tias lub ntsiab lus ntawm kev ruaj ntseg khoom noj khoom haus yog qhov teeb meem ntawm kev thaj yeeb thiab kev txhim kho thoob ntiaj teb.
Xyoo 2023/24, vim muaj tus nqi khoom ua liaj ua teb thoob ntiaj teb siab, tag nrho cov khoom noj khoom haus thoob ntiaj teb thiab taum pauv tau nce mus txog qib siab tshaj plaws, ua rau tus nqi ntawm ntau yam khoom noj hauv cov teb chaws uas tsom mus rau kev ua lag luam tom qab kev teev cov nplej tshiab poob qis heev. Txawm li cas los xij, vim muaj kev nce nqi ntau heev los ntawm kev tshaj tawm cov nyiaj super los ntawm US Federal Reserve hauv Asia, tus nqi mov hauv kev ua lag luam thoob ntiaj teb tau nce siab heev kom tswj tau kev nce nqi hauv tsev thiab tswj kev xa khoom mov hauv Is Nrias teb.
Kev tswj hwm kev ua lag luam hauv Suav teb, Is Nrias teb, thiab Lavxias tau cuam tshuam rau lawv txoj kev loj hlob ntawm kev tsim khoom noj hauv xyoo 2024, tab sis feem ntau, kev tsim khoom noj thoob ntiaj teb hauv xyoo 2024 yog nyob rau theem siab.
Tsim nyog tau txais kev saib xyuas zoo, tus nqi kub thoob ntiaj teb tseem nce mus txog qhov siab tshaj plaws, qhov kev poob qis ntawm cov txiaj ntsig thoob ntiaj teb, tus nqi khoom noj khoom haus thoob ntiaj teb muaj kev nyuaj siab, thaum qhov kev tsim khoom txhua xyoo thiab qhov kev thov sib txawv, tus nqi khoom noj khoom haus tseem ceeb yuav nce mus txog qhov siab tshaj plaws dua, yog li tam sim no yuav tsum tau them sai sai rau kev tsim khoom noj khoom haus, kom tiv thaiv kev poob siab.
Kev cog qoob loo thoob ntiaj teb
Xyoo 2023/24, thaj chaw cog qoob loo thoob ntiaj teb yuav yog 75.6 lab hectares, nce 0.38% piv rau xyoo dhau los. Tag nrho cov khoom tsim tau txog 3.234 billion tons, thiab cov qoob loo ib hectare yog 4,277 kg/ha, nce 2.86% thiab 3.26% piv rau xyoo dhau los, raws li. (Tag nrho cov khoom tsim tau yog 2.989 billion tons, nce 3.63% piv rau xyoo dhau los.)
Xyoo 2023/24, huab cua ua liaj ua teb hauv tebchaws Es Xias, Tebchaws Europe thiab Tebchaws Meskas feem ntau zoo, thiab tus nqi khoom noj khoom haus siab dua txhawb nqa kev txhim kho ntawm cov neeg ua liaj ua teb txoj kev txaus siab rau kev cog qoob loo, ua rau muaj kev nce ntxiv ntawm cov qoob loo thiab thaj chaw ntawm cov qoob loo khoom noj khoom haus thoob ntiaj teb.
Ntawm lawv, thaj chaw cog qoob loo ntawm cov nplej, pob kws thiab mov hauv xyoo 2023/24 yog 601.5 lab hectares, poob qis 0.56% los ntawm xyoo dhau los; Tag nrho cov khoom tsim tawm tau txog 2.79 billion tons, nce ntxiv ntawm 1.71%; Cov txiaj ntsig ib cheeb tsam yog 4638 kg / ha, nce ntxiv ntawm 2.28% piv rau xyoo dhau los.
Kev tsim khoom hauv Tebchaws Europe thiab South America tau rov zoo tom qab muaj kev kub ntxhov hauv xyoo 2022; Kev poob qis ntawm kev tsim khoom mov hauv South thiab South-East Asia tau muaj kev cuam tshuam tsis zoo rau cov tebchaws uas tseem tab tom txhim kho.
Cov nqi khoom noj thoob ntiaj teb
Thaum Lub Ob Hlis 2024, tus nqi khoom noj khoom haus thoob ntiaj teb sib xyaw * yog US $ 353 / ton, poob qis 2.70% txhua hli thiab 13.55% txhua xyoo; Thaum Lub Ib Hlis-Lub Ob Hlis 2024, tus nqi khoom noj khoom haus thoob ntiaj teb nruab nrab yog $ 357 / ton, poob qis 12.39% txhua xyoo.
Txij li thaum xyoo tshiab qoob loo (pib thaum lub Tsib Hlis), tus nqi khoom noj khoom haus thoob ntiaj teb tau poob qis, thiab tus nqi nruab nrab ntawm lub Tsib Hlis mus txog rau lub Ob Hlis yog 370 US dollars / ton, poob 11.97% xyoo-rau-xyoo. Ntawm lawv, tus nqi nruab nrab ntawm cov nplej, pob kws thiab mov hauv lub Ob Hlis yog 353 US dollars / ton, poob 2.19% hli-rau-hli thiab 12.0% xyoo-rau-xyoo; Tus nqi nruab nrab ntawm Lub Ib Hlis-Lub Ob Hlis 2024 yog $ 357 / ton, poob 12.15% xyoo-rau-xyoo; Tus nqi nruab nrab rau xyoo tshiab qoob loo txij lub Tsib Hlis mus txog rau lub Ob Hlis yog $ 365 / ton, poob $ 365 / ton xyoo-rau-xyoo.
Tus nqi qoob loo tag nrho thiab tus nqi ntawm peb hom qoob loo loj tau poob qis heev hauv xyoo tshiab no, qhia tau tias qhov xwm txheej ntawm kev muab khoom hauv xyoo tshiab tau zoo dua. Cov nqi tam sim no feem ntau poob qis mus rau qib kawg uas tau pom thaum Lub Xya Hli thiab Lub Yim Hli 2020, thiab kev poob qis txuas ntxiv tuaj yeem cuam tshuam tsis zoo rau kev tsim khoom noj thoob ntiaj teb hauv Xyoo Tshiab.
Kev sib npaug ntawm kev muab khoom noj thiab kev thov khoom noj thoob ntiaj teb
Xyoo 2023/24, tag nrho cov qoob loo ntawm cov mov tom qab mov yog 2.989 billion tons, nce 3.63% piv rau xyoo dhau los, thiab qhov nce ntawm cov khoom tsim tawm ua rau tus nqi poob qis heev.
Tag nrho cov pej xeem thoob ntiaj teb yuav muaj 8.026 billion, nce 1.04% piv rau xyoo tas los, thiab kev loj hlob ntawm kev tsim khoom noj thiab kev muab khoom noj ntau dua li kev loj hlob ntawm cov pej xeem thoob ntiaj teb. Kev noj cov khoom noj thoob ntiaj teb yog 2.981 billion tons, thiab cov khoom xa tuaj txhua xyoo yog 752 lab tons, nrog rau qhov kev nyab xeeb ntawm 25.7%.
Cov zis ib tus neeg yog 372.4 kg, siab dua 1.15% piv rau xyoo tas los. Hais txog kev noj, kev noj zaub mov yog 157.8 kg, kev noj zaub mov yog 136.8 kg, kev noj lwm yam yog 76.9 kg, thiab tag nrho kev noj yog 371.5 kg. Kilograms. Kev poob nqi yuav ua rau muaj kev nce ntxiv ntawm kev noj lwm yam, uas yuav tiv thaiv tus nqi kom txuas ntxiv poob rau lub sijhawm tom qab.
Kev kwv yees ntawm kev tsim cov nplej thoob ntiaj teb
Raws li kev xam tus nqi thoob ntiaj teb tam sim no, thaj chaw cog qoob loo thoob ntiaj teb xyoo 2024 yog 760 lab hectares, qhov qoob loo ib hectare yog 4,393 kg / ha, thiab tag nrho cov khoom tsim tawm thoob ntiaj teb yog 3,337 lab tons. Cov khoom tsim tawm ntawm cov mov yog 3.09 billion tons, nce 3.40% piv rau xyoo dhau los.
Raws li qhov kev loj hlob ntawm thaj chaw thiab cov qoob loo ib cheeb tsam ntawm cov teb chaws loj hauv ntiaj teb, txog xyoo 2030, thaj chaw cog qoob loo thoob ntiaj teb yuav yog li 760 lab hectares, cov qoob loo ib cheeb tsam yuav yog 4,748 kg / hectare, thiab tag nrho cov khoom tsim tawm thoob ntiaj teb yuav yog 3.664 billion tons, qis dua lub sijhawm dhau los. Kev loj hlob qeeb hauv Suav teb, Is Nrias teb thiab Tebchaws Europe tau ua rau kev kwv yees qis dua ntawm kev tsim khoom qoob loo thoob ntiaj teb los ntawm thaj chaw.
Txog xyoo 2030, Is Nrias teb, Brazil, Tebchaws Meskas thiab Tuam Tshoj yuav yog cov teb chaws tsim khoom noj loj tshaj plaws hauv ntiaj teb. Xyoo 2035, thaj chaw cog qoob loo thoob ntiaj teb yuav ncav cuag 789 lab hectares, nrog rau cov qoob loo ntawm 5,318 kg / ha, thiab tag nrho cov khoom tsim tawm thoob ntiaj teb ntawm 4.194 billion tons.
Los ntawm qhov xwm txheej tam sim no, tsis muaj qhov tsis txaus ntawm thaj av cog qoob loo hauv ntiaj teb, tab sis kev loj hlob ntawm ib chav tsev cov qoob loo qeeb qeeb, uas xav tau kev saib xyuas zoo. Kev txhim kho kev txhim kho ecological, tsim kom muaj kev tswj hwm zoo, thiab txhawb kev siv cov kev tshawb fawb niaj hnub thiab thev naus laus zis hauv kev ua liaj ua teb txiav txim siab txog kev ruaj ntseg zaub mov yav tom ntej hauv ntiaj teb.
Lub sijhawm tshaj tawm: Plaub Hlis-08-2024