Nyob rau hauv keeb kwm yav dhau los ntawm kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb poob qis thiab kev tshem tawm cov khoom lag luam, kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg thoob ntiaj teb hauv xyoo 2023 tau ntsib qhov kev sim ntawm kev vam meej tag nrho, thiab qhov kev thov rau cov khoom siv tshuaj lom neeg feem ntau tsis ua tiav qhov kev cia siab.
Kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg hauv Tebchaws Europe tab tom muaj teeb meem nyob rau hauv ob qho kev nyuaj siab ntawm tus nqi thiab kev thov, thiab nws cov khoom tsim tawm raug teeb meem loj heev los ntawm cov teeb meem kev teeb tsa. Txij li thaum pib ntawm xyoo 2022, kev tsim tshuaj lom neeg hauv EU27 tau qhia txog kev poob qis txhua hli. Txawm hais tias qhov kev poob qis no tau txo qis hauv ib nrab xyoo tom ntej ntawm xyoo 2023, nrog rau kev rov zoo me ntsis hauv kev tsim khoom, txoj kev rov zoo rau kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg hauv cheeb tsam tseem muaj ntau yam teeb meem. Cov no suav nrog kev loj hlob ntawm kev thov tsis muaj zog, tus nqi zog hauv cheeb tsam siab (tus nqi roj av tseem nyob li 50% siab dua xyoo 2021), thiab kev nyuaj siab txuas ntxiv rau cov nqi khoom noj. Tsis tas li ntawd, tom qab cov teeb meem ntawm cov khoom xa tuaj los ntawm qhov teeb meem Hiav Txwv Liab thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 23 xyoo tas los, qhov xwm txheej tam sim no hauv Middle East muaj kev kub ntxhov, uas yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam rau kev rov zoo ntawm kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg thoob ntiaj teb.
Txawm hais tias cov tuam txhab tshuaj lom neeg thoob ntiaj teb tau ceev faj txog kev rov zoo ntawm kev ua lag luam hauv xyoo 2024, lub sijhawm tseeb ntawm kev rov zoo tseem tsis tau meej. Cov tuam txhab tshuaj lom neeg ua liaj ua teb tseem niaj hnub ceev faj txog cov khoom muag thoob ntiaj teb, uas kuj yuav yog qhov nyuaj rau feem ntau ntawm xyoo 2024.
Kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg hauv Is Nrias teb tab tom loj hlob sai
Kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg hauv Is Nrias teb tab tom loj hlob zoo heev. Raws li Manufacturing Today qhov kev tshuaj xyuas, kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg hauv Is Nrias teb yuav loj hlob ntawm tus nqi loj hlob txhua xyoo ntawm 2.71% hauv tsib xyoos tom ntej, nrog rau tag nrho cov nyiaj tau los yuav nce mus txog $ 143.3 billion. Tib lub sijhawm, tus lej ntawm cov tuam txhab yuav nce mus txog 15,730 los ntawm xyoo 2024, ntxiv kev sib sau ua ke ntawm Is Nrias teb txoj haujlwm tseem ceeb hauv kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg thoob ntiaj teb. Nrog rau kev nce ntxiv ntawm kev nqis peev hauv tsev thiab txawv teb chaws thiab kev nce ntxiv ntawm kev muaj peev xwm tsim kho tshiab hauv kev lag luam, kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg hauv Is Nrias teb yuav ua lub luag haujlwm tseem ceeb dua ntawm theem thoob ntiaj teb.
Kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg hauv Is Nrias teb tau ua tau zoo heev rau kev lag luam macroeconomic. Txoj kev qhib siab ntawm tsoomfwv Is Nrias teb, nrog rau kev tsim kom muaj lub tshuab pom zoo tsis siv neeg, tau ua rau cov tub ua lag luam ntseeg siab ntxiv thiab txhaj tshuaj tshiab rau kev vam meej ntawm kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg. Nruab nrab xyoo 2000 thiab 2023, kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg hauv Is Nrias teb tau nyiam cov peev txheej txawv teb chaws (FDI) ntawm $ 21.7 billion, suav nrog kev nqis peev los ntawm cov tuam txhab tshuaj lom neeg thoob ntiaj teb xws li BASF, Covestro thiab Saudi Aramco.
Tus nqi loj hlob txhua xyoo ntawm kev lag luam agrochemical hauv Is Nrias teb yuav ncav cuag 9% txij li xyoo 2025 txog 2028
Xyoo tas los no, kev lag luam agrochemical thiab kev lag luam hauv Is Nrias teb tau ua kom muaj kev loj hlob sai, tsoomfwv Is Nrias teb suav tias kev lag luam agrochemical yog ib qho ntawm "12 kev lag luam uas muaj peev xwm tshaj plaws rau kev coj noj coj ua thoob ntiaj teb hauv Is Nrias teb", thiab txhawb nqa "Ua hauv Is Nrias teb" kom yooj yim rau kev tswj hwm kev lag luam tshuaj tua kab, txhawb nqa kev tsim kho vaj tse, thiab siv zog txhawb Is Nrias teb kom dhau los ua lub chaw tsim khoom thiab xa tawm agrochemical thoob ntiaj teb.
Raws li Ministry of Commerce ntawm Is Nrias teb, Is Nrias teb cov khoom xa tawm ntawm agrochemicals hauv xyoo 2022 yog $ 5.5 billion, dhau Tebchaws Meskas ($ 5.4 billion) los ua lub ntiaj teb thib ob loj tshaj plaws xa tawm ntawm agrochemicals.
Ntxiv rau, daim ntawv tshaj tawm tshiab los ntawm Rubix Data Sciences kwv yees tias kev lag luam agrochemicals hauv Is Nrias teb yuav muaj kev loj hlob tseem ceeb thaum lub xyoo nyiaj txiag 2025 txog 2028, nrog rau kev loj hlob txhua xyoo ntawm 9%. Kev loj hlob no yuav tsav tsheb loj ntawm kev lag luam los ntawm $ 10.3 billion tam sim no mus rau $ 14.5 billion.
Nruab nrab xyoo 2019 thiab 2023, Is Nrias teb cov khoom xa tawm agrochemicals tau loj hlob ntawm tus nqi txhua xyoo ntawm 14% mus txog $ 5.4 billion hauv xyoo 2023. Lub caij no, kev loj hlob ntawm kev xa khoom tuaj tau raug txo qis, loj hlob ntawm CAGR ntawm tsuas yog 6 feem pua ntawm tib lub sijhawm. Kev sib sau ua ke ntawm cov khw muag khoom xa tawm loj ntawm Is Nrias teb rau agrochemicals tau nce ntxiv ntau heev nyob rau xyoo tas los no, nrog rau tsib lub tebchaws sab saum toj (Brazil, Tebchaws Meskas, Nyab Laj, Tuam Tshoj thiab Nyiv) suav txog ze li ntawm 65% ntawm kev xa tawm, nce ntxiv ntau los ntawm 48% hauv xyoo 2019. Kev xa tawm ntawm cov tshuaj tua kab, ib feem tseem ceeb ntawm agrochemicals, tau loj hlob ntawm CAGR ntawm 23% ntawm xyoo 2019 thiab 2023, ua rau lawv cov feem ntawm Is Nrias teb cov khoom xa tawm agrochemicals tag nrho los ntawm 31% mus rau 41%.
Ua tsaug rau qhov cuam tshuam zoo ntawm kev hloov kho cov khoom muag thiab kev tsim khoom nce ntxiv, cov tuam txhab tshuaj lom neeg Is Nrias teb yuav pom kev nce ntxiv ntawm kev xa khoom. Txawm li cas los xij, qhov kev loj hlob no yuav tseem nyob qis dua qib kev rov zoo uas xav tau rau xyoo 2025 tom qab kev lag luam poob qis hauv xyoo 2024. Yog tias kev rov zoo ntawm kev lag luam European tseem qeeb lossis tsis ruaj khov, kev cia siab ntawm kev xa khoom ntawm cov tuam txhab tshuaj lom neeg Is Nrias teb hauv xyoo 2025 yuav ntsib teeb meem. Kev poob ntawm kev sib tw hauv kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg EU thiab kev nce ntxiv ntawm kev ntseeg siab ntawm cov tuam txhab Is Nrias teb yuav muab lub sijhawm rau kev lag luam tshuaj lom neeg Is Nrias teb kom muaj txoj haujlwm zoo dua hauv kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb.
Lub sijhawm tshaj tawm: Lub Rau Hli-14-2024